Key Points
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The global burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is rising. Impaired kidney function is the seventh leading global risk factor for death.
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In lower-income regions CKD occurs in younger individuals.
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The global burden of acute kidney injury remains unknown.
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Impaired kidney function contributes to more deaths from cardiovascular disease than from end-stage kidney failure.
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Many countries lack policies regarding kidney disease advocacy, screening, and prevention.
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Achieving universal health coverage may reduce the global burden of acute kidney injury and CKD through improved access to primary care and essential diagnostics and medication.
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Access to dialysis and transplantation is highly inequitable across the globe and within regions and countries, largely dictated by ability to pay and presence of government policies.
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If dialysis and/or transplantation are to be provided in low-resource settings, rigorous planning must be done up front to determine affordability and to ensure sustainability, and transparent criteria must be developed to achieve fairness and equitable access to kidney replacement therapy.
Global Challenges in Kidney Health
Kidney Disease is an Important Public Health Concern
Kidney disease is an important noncommunicable disease (NCD) worldwide; however, this is not yet widely acknowledged on the global policy agenda. The World Health Organization (WHO) Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of NCDs initially prioritized four main diseases (heart diseases and stroke, cancer, chronic respiratory diseases, and diabetes) and four main risk factors (diet, physical activity, alcohol, and tobacco) in a 4 × 4 campaign, having identified these four diseases as the major NCD killers globally. Subsequently, mental health and air pollution were added to become a 5 × 5 campaign. In 2023, oral health was included as a priority NCD, and it has been suggested that sugar be added to expand to a 6 × 6 campaign. Kidney disease has therefore not consistently been identified as a global priority, although it is likely that kidney health has benefited from campaigns aimed at improving adherence to healthy lifestyles.
The global importance of kidney disease as a cause of mortality and morbidity is increasing. Impaired kidney function (IKF—defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <60 mL/min/L·73 m 2 or albumin-to- creatinine ratio [ACR] ≥to 30 mg/g) has been identified as the 7th global leading cause of death ( Table 73.1 ) and has risen to the 10th leading global cause of death as listed by the WHO. , If this trend continues, it has been projected that kidney disease may become the fifth leading global cause of years of life lost (YLLs) by 2040.
Table 73.1
Global Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD, Mean Estimates with 95% Uncertainty Intervals)
| Parameter | CKD | CVD due to IKF | IKF Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prevalence | ||||||
| Number, 2019 | 697.3 mln | (650.0-741.1) | — | — | ||
| Crude rate/100,000 population, 2019 | 9011.9 | (8401.3-9577.8) | — | — | ||
| Global rank, 2019 | 13th | — | — | |||
| Change in number from 1990 to 2019, % | 104.1% | (100.9-107.3) | — | — | ||
| Change in crude rate from 1990 to 2019, % | 41.1% | (38.9-43.4) | — | — | ||
| Change in age-standardized rate from 1990 to 2019, % | 9.4% | (8.7-10.3) | — | — | ||
| YLDs | ||||||
| Number, 2019 | 8.7 mln | (6.3-11.5) | 2.3 mln | (1.6-3.1) | 11.3 mln | (8.2-14.7) |
| Crude rate/100,000 population, 2019 | 113.0 | (81.7-148.7) | 29.8 | (20.7-40.0) | 145.8 | (106.4-189.7) |
| Global rank, 2019 | 26th | – | 10th | |||
| Change in number from 1990-2019, % | 125.6% | (116.6-134.6) | 119.1% | (114.1-124.4) | 125.5% | (118.3-132.7) |
| Change in crude rate from 1990-2019, % | 56.0% | (49.8-62.2) | 51.5% | (48.0-55.2) | 55.9% | (50.9-60.9) |
| Change in age-standardized rate from 1990-2019, % | 24.3% | (20.6-27.7) | 5.4% | (3.0-7.5) | 20.2% | (16.9-23.2) |
| Deaths | ||||||
| Number, 2019 | 1.4 mln | (1.3-1.5) | 1.7 mln | (1.3-2.2) | 3.2 mln | (2.7-3.6) |
| Crude rate/100,000 population, 2019 | 18.4 | (17.0-19.7) | 22.4 | (17.1-28.0) | 40.9 | (35.2-46.8) |
| Global rank, 2019 | 11th | — | 7 th | |||
| Change in number from 1990-2019, % | 137.4% | (118.7-153.6) | 78.7% | (67.3-90.8) | 101.2% | (88.4-112.9) |
| Change in crude rate from 1990-2019, % | 64.1% | (51.2-75.3) | 23.6% | (15.7-31.9) | 39.1% | (30.3-47.2) |
| Change in age-standardized rate from 1990-2019, % | 13.3% | (4.6-20.4) | –23.0% | (–27.5-–18.5) | –10.0% | (–15.5-–4.6) |
| YLLs | ||||||
| Number, 2019 | 32.8 mln | (30.5-35.0) | 32.4 mln | (25.3-40.1) | 65.2 mln | (57.2-73.5) |
| Crude rate/100,000 population, 2019 | 423.8 | (393.6-453.0) | 418.9 | (327.3-518.2) | 842.7 | (739.5-950.1) |
| Global rank, 2019 | 16th | — | 10th | |||
| Change in number from 1990 to 2019, % | 86.0% | (72.9-100.0) | 66.6% | (54.7-78.2) | 75.8% | (64.6-87.4) |
| Change in crude rate from 1990 to 2019, % | 28.6% | (19.6-38.3) | 15.2% | (6.9-23.2) | 21.6% | (13.8-29.6) |
| Change in age-standardized rate from 1990 to 2019, % | 2.3% | (–4.9-9.5) | –21.8% | (–27.0-–16.4) | –11.3% | (–17.1-–5.6) |
| DALYs | ||||||
| Number, 2019 | 41.5 mln | (38.3-45.0) | 34.7 mln | (27.5-42.7) | 76.5 mln | (67.8-86.3) |
| Crude rate/100,000 population, 2019 | 536.9 | (494.9-582.1) | 448.7 | (354.9-552.3) | 988.5 | (876.1-1115.2) |
| Global rank, 2019 | 18th | — | 10th | |||
| Change in number from 1990 to 2019, % | 93.2% | (81.6-105.0) | 69.3% | (58.1-80.6) | 81.7% | (71.6-92.0) |
| Change in crude rate from 1990 to 2019, % | 33.6% | (25.6-41.7) | 17.0% | (9.3-24.8) | 25.6% | (18.6-32.8) |
| Change in age-standardized rate from 1990 to 2019, % | 6.3% | (0.2-12.4) | –20.5% | (–25.5-–15.5) | –7.7% | (–12.9-–2.4) |
IKF (impaired kidney function) includes low glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria. It is considered to be a risk factor resulting in the burden of CKD, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and gout.
Global rank for CKD refers to a rank among 369 diseases and injuries; global rank for IKF refers to a rank among 87 risk factors expressed as a crude rate.
As discussed in detail later, estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study in 2019 showed that around 1.4 million people died of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and kidney dysfunction contributed to a further 1.7 million deaths from cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Others have estimated that between 2 and 7 million people died in 2010 because they had no access to dialysis and 1.7 million die annually from acute kidney injury (AKI). , It is possible therefore that kidney disease may contribute to 6–11 million deaths annually, many of these thus far uncounted.
AKI and CKD are both of public health concern. Although the true prevalence of both in low-income (LIC) and lower-middle-income countries (LMICs), collectively LLMICs, is unknown, it is estimated that they are at least as high, if not higher, than in high-income countries (HICs). Approximately 700 million adults (8%–16%) worldwide are living with CKD, around 80% of whom reside in low or middle-income countries. , Up to 90% of those affected however are not aware of their condition. , The prevalence of CKD among children is unknown but may reach 1%. Traditional and universal risk factors for CKD include diabetes and hypertension, although additional risk factors for CKD are being increasingly recognized including nephrotoxins (prescription medication and traditional/complementary remedies), kidney stones, fetal and maternal exposures, infections, environmental and occupational exposures, and AKI. , The contribution of such nontraditional risk factors to the burdens of AKI and CKD is unknown but may be significant, especially in LLMIC. The impact of climate change and its consequences is also increasingly being recognized as an important contributor to both acute and chronic kidney disease.
Global data on the burden of AKI are lacking; however, from systematic reviews the incidence of AKI in hospitalized patients has been reported to be 7% to 21% (30%–70% of critically ill patients) worldwide. , AKI has been estimated to affect 13.3 million people per year, of whom around 85% reside in LLMIC. Data for children are again relatively scarce, with estimates of 7.5% to 23.3% among hospitalized children depending on the definitions used. Overall mortality has been estimated at 11% to 23% in adults and 14% in children but varies with the population studied, reaching 80% if no dialysis is available when required. , , AKI is associated with high costs of care as many patients require intensive care management. Indeed, mortality is lower in countries with higher expenditure on health care, reflecting better access to health care and dialysis in these countries. , , In higher-income countries the majority of AKI is hospital acquired, whereas in many LLMICs, community-acquired AKI is more common. , Sepsis, dehydration, use of nephrotoxins, and primary acute kidney injury are major universal causes of AKI, with tropical infections and obstetric causes being common in lower-resource settings. In many patients with AKI, kidney function will recover, but adults and children experiencing AKI have an up to eightfold risk of developing CKD and are at increased risk of longer-term CVD and death. CKD, in turn, is an important risk factor for AKI. For further discussion of AKI, see Chapters 27 and 28 .
Challenges in diagnosis of kidney disease include the necessity for access to blood and urine testing, awareness among health care workers, a degree of therapeutic nihilism in environments where access to specialist care and dialysis is limited, and the fact that kidney disease is often asymptomatic or symptoms are nonspecific until advanced stages. , Proactive screening for early detection of AKI or CKD in high-risk individuals, to permit interventions to delay worsening of the disease, is therefore required. Increased awareness of risk factors for CKD and AKI in communities and hospitalized populations is urgently needed to successfully implement prevention strategies. Kidney disease risk may begin early with low birth weight or preterm birth (see Chapter 20) and accumulate across the life span, often exacerbated by the social determinants of health. , Kidney disease also bridges communicable and noncommunicable diseases. Acute infections such as malaria and leptospirosis may lead to AKI, and chronic infections such as hepatitis B and C and HIV are important causes of CKD. , In turn, AKI and CKD increase the risk and morbidity of infections. Many people worldwide are therefore affected by kidney disease, at least some of which is preventable. , Despite the best efforts at prevention, however, some people will develop either acute or end-stage kidney failure and require kidney replacement therapy (dialysis or transplantation, KRT) to remain alive.
The public health importance of CKD lies in not only the risk of end-stage kidney failure (ESKF) requiring dialysis and/or transplantation, at great expense to the individual and the health system, but also in the fact that CKD is a major risk multiplier of cardiovascular risk, contributing to excess strokes and heart attacks and leading to death of many CKD patients before they ever reach ESKF. It is frequently underappreciated that CKD alone is a stronger risk factor for coronary events than diabetes, and when the two conditions coexist (which occurs in one in three patients with diabetes), the risk of cardiovascular events and overall mortality is further multiplied. , In addition, people living with kidney disease are among those with the greatest multimorbidity and have a high degree of complexity, requiring frequent hospitalizations, and at significant cost almost equaling that of KRT. ,
In recent years various initiatives have been launched or supported by the global nephrology community to improve understanding of the burden of kidney disease, estimate the resources available to tackle kidney disease, advocate for kidney health, and contribute to the development of innovative strategies to prevent or detect and treat kidney disease early. Some of these initiatives are described as follows.
Global Burden of Disease Study—Kidney Disease
The Global Burden of Disease, Injuries and Risk Factors (GBD) study presents a comprehensive assessment of the global epidemiology of CKD as both a direct cause of mortality and morbidity and a risk factor for CVD. The CKD metrics are available at the global and regional levels, as well as for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Compared with previous estimates, the latest GBD revision covering 2019 provides data for all CKD stages burden (previously limited to stages 3–5) and evaluates both albuminuria and low GFR as risk factors under the umbrella term “impaired kidney function (IKF)” (previously limited only to low GFR). The GBD uses the term “IKF” to indicate the impact of CKD as a risk factor for ischemic heart disease, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, and gout, as well as to differentiate it from the term “CKD” itself, which refers to a direct cause of morbidity and mortality due to kidney disease.
For CKD and other diseases, the GBD provides several innovative metrics including years lived with disability (YLDs), YLLs due to premature death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). DALYs are a unified measure of disease burden that summarizes YLLs and YLDs, thus accounting for both mortality and morbidity. For each metric both crude (all ages) and age-standardized rates per 100,000 population are available. Age standardization was done to the 2019 world population, reporting rates adjusted to differences in age structure, and thus allows comparison of rates in different countries and across years for the same country. Generally, crude rates are higher in HICs, mostly due to the longer life duration and higher proportion of older individuals, while age-standardized rates are much higher in LMICs, indicating more young individuals of working age affected by CKD.
Chronic Kidney Disease Prevalence
Global CKD prevalence amounted to 697.3 million in 2019 (see Table 73.1 , Fig. 73.1 ) which corresponds to 9.0% of the world’s population. This estimate is higher than the prevalence of CVD, neoplasms, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, osteoarthritis, or the number of people living with the consequences of road injury ( Fig. 73.2 ). , CKD prevalence was 13.1% of global population aged 20 years and older and substantially increased with age. CKD was more prevalent in females (382.7 million) than in males (314.3 million). The majority of CKD cases in 2019 were assumed to be due to intrinsic or unknown etiology of the kidney disease (531.1 million), followed by diabetic nephropathy (134.6 million) and hypertensive nephropathy (31.0 million); however, these estimates are based on data from a minority of world countries and require data on CKD etiology from LMICs to become more precise.
Global chronic kidney disease prevalence, 1990–2019.
Numbers on the top indicate global chronic kidney disease prevalence.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
Comparison of global prevalence for selected noncommunicable diseases.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
The GBD estimates are close to those from independent meta-analyses that estimated the CKD prevalence to be 13.4% (with 10.6% attributed to stages 3–5) globally and 14.3% (with 9.8% attributed to stages 3–5) in geographically dispersed lower-resource countries. However, the GBD has the substantial advantage of broader and more detailed data inclusion, age standardization, and, most importantly, availability of CKD estimates for each country. Almost a third of global subjects with CKD in 2019 lived in two countries: China (150.5 million, accounting to 10.6% of the population) and India (115.2 million, equal to 8.2% of the population). Brazil, Indonesia, Japan, Mexico, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Thailand, and the United States of America each had more than 10 million people with CKD, 14 additional countries had between 5 and 10 million CKD patients, and another 48 countries had from 1 to 5 million persons with CKD ( Figs. 73.3 and 73.4 ).
Country-level chronic kidney disease prevalence metrics.
Color filling accounts for three parameters: all-ages and age-standardized rates in 2019 and age-standardized rate change since 1990. Before mapping, each parameter was normalized to the scale from 0 to 100 (representing lowest and highest value of the original parameter). This allows visualization of all parameters and identification of the predominant one for each country.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
The absolute number of chronic kidney disease patients in the world regions in 2019.
Area size is proportional to number of patients in the region that also presented in the brackets. Color filling reflects age-standardized rates.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
Compared with 1990, the GBD study reported significant increase in the prevalence of CKD of 104.1% in absolute numbers, 41.1% in crude rates, and 9.4% in age-standardized rates. The latter observation is important as it indicates the continuous increase of CKD prevalence is independent of changes in population age structure. Of note, the majority of NCDs over the same period demonstrated a decrease in age-standardized rates (see Fig. 73.2 ) due to successful reduction in risk factor exposure.
The GBD confirmed significant heterogeneity between countries and regions (see Figs. 73.3 and 73.5 ), with crude prevalence rates being much higher in HICs and age-standardized rates being higher in LLMICs. The highest age-standardized CKD prevalences in 2019 were found in Central Latin America, Southeast Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East—and these regions also demonstrated the highest increase in age-standardized rates of >20% (see Fig. 73.5 ). In contrast, many HICs showed a small increase or even a decline in age-standardized CKD rates since 1990 (see Figs. 73.3 and 73.5 ). This fact could suggest differences in causes, progression rates, and mortality of CKD by income region, or lack of access to early detection and treatment of CKD in lower-income regions. It is well recognized that important differences in access to and quality of kidney care exist between different countries, , and even within the same country different populations have higher risks of late referral to nephrology services. Taken together, the higher frequency among younger individuals, limited access to kidney care, and inadequate access to essential medications contribute to the CKD burden, which has important implications for national economies, especially in countries with lower socioeconomic development. , ,
Chronic kidney disease all-ages and age-standardized prevalence rates.
Age standardization accounts for the differences in the regional age structure and used the world 2019 GBD population. “North Africa” category reflects data for North Africa and Middle East.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
Mortality Due to Chronic Kidney Disease
Importantly, kidney disease represents both a direct cause of morbidity and mortality and is a risk factor for morbidity and mortality from other diseases. Worldwide in 2019, CKD directly resulted in 1.4 million deaths, and 1.7 million deaths occurred due to IKF as a risk factor for CVD ( Fig. 73.6 ). Thus the overall mortality from IKF was 3.2 million, which makes it the seventh leading cause of death that resulted in 1 in 17 fatal outcomes in the world (see Table 73.1 ). Of note, compared with 1990, the dynamics of the two IKF mortality components were different. The first component, mortality from CKD as a direct cause of death, increased by 137.4% in absolute numbers, by 64.1% in crude rates, and by 13.3% in age-standardized rates (see Table 73.1 ). The highest rates and greatest increase in CKD mortality over 30 years were detected in Latin America and Southern Africa, while in some regions the improved access to KRT for older people led to a decrease in age-standardized rates ( Figs. 73.7–73.9 ). While the number of deaths from CKD is much lower than from CVD and comparable with those for diabetes, CKD remains one of the few causes of death that is still increasing ( Fig. 73.10 ). This increase made CKD the 11th leading cause of death in 2019 according to the GBD study, compared with its ranking of 19th in 1990, and it is expected to increase further by 2040 to 2.2 million in a best-case scenario and up to 4.0 million in a worst-case scenario, to become the fifth leading cause of YLLs. In contrast, the second component, CVD deaths attributable to IKF as a risk factor, decreased by–23.0% in age-standardized rates because of widespread implementation of prevention programs aimed to fight CVD.
Global mortality related to impaired kidney function, 1990–2019.
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality numbers reflect only a fraction of CVD mortality related to impaired kidney function. Numbers on the top indicate total number of deaths from both CKD and CVD due to impaired kidney function.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
Country-level mortality metrics for chronic kidney disease (CKD) as the direct cause of death.
CKD metrics consider only the direct cause of death and do not include CVD mortality due to impaired kidney function. Color filling accounts for three parameters: all-ages and age-standardized rates in 2019 and age-standardized rate change since 1990. Before mapping each parameter was normalized to the scale from 0 to 100 (representing lowest and highest value of the original parameter). This allows to visualize all parameters and to identify the predominant one for each country.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
The absolute number of deaths due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in 2019.
Area size is proportional to number of deaths in the region that is also presented in the brackets. Color filling reflects age-standardized rates. The numbers and rates do not account for impaired kidney function as a risk factor for cardiovascular mortality and reflect only CKD as a direct cause of death.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) all-ages and age-standardized mortality rates.
Age standardization accounts for the differences in the regional age structure and was made using the world 2019 GBD population. CKD metrics consider only the direct cause of death and do not include CVD mortality due to impaired kidney function. “North Africa” category reflects data for North Africa and Middle East.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
Comparison of global mortality from selected noncommunicable diseases.
Reflects only the direct mortality due to disease and does not account for the impact of risk factors. Chronic kidney disease metrics consider only the direct cause of death and do not include CVD mortality due to impaired kidney function.
Adapted from Bikbov B. [Scientific-Tools.Org]. Core regional metrics of chronic kidney disease [CKD] prevalence in the GBD 2019 Study, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
A different approach to estimation of CKD mortality, based on the comparison of actual provision of KRT and estimated need for KRT suggested that between 2.3 and 7.1 million deaths worldwide could be attributable to death from ESKF due to lack of access to KRT. Determining the exact number of deaths related to CKD is challenging because of the lack of access to diagnosis of CKD in many lower-income regions, differences in mortality coding practices, competitive categorical mortality attribution (CKD vs. CVD), and lack of precise data from many countries. Nevertheless, even with the available data, the mortality burden from kidney disease is huge and requires urgent implementation of CKD prevention and treatment programs everywhere.
YLDS, YLLS, DALYS Due to Chronic Kidney Disease
Worldwide in 2019, YLDs directly related to CKD accounted for almost 8.7 million, and those related to CVD and gout attributable to IKF accounted for 2.3 million and 0.2 million, respectively (see Table 73.1 ). This corresponds to 1 of every 76 global YLDs from all diseases, an important number, considering that the vast majority of individuals with CKD stages 1 to 3 are not included in the YLDs due to the GBD methodology. Regarding the burden expressed in YLLs, the impact reached 32.8 million for CKD as a direct cause of death and 32.4 million for CVD deaths attributed to IKF as a risk factor. Together, this equals 65.2 million YLLs, which makes IKF the 10th leading cause of YLL globally. Both YLDs and YLLs substantially increase with age ( Fig. 73.11 ).
Years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates/100,000 population for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in 2019.
Orange bars represent YLLs; blue bars represent YLDs; total size of the bars equal to DALYs.
Adapted from Bikbov B. Core global metrics of years lived with disability [YLDs], years of life lost [YLLs], and disability-adjusted life years [DALYs] due to impaired kidney function [IKF] in the GBD 2019 Study. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
In terms of DALYs, CKD directly led to 41.5 million and IKF as a risk factor for CVD and gout led to 34.7 million and 0.2 million, respectively ( Fig. 73.12 ). Overall, this indicates that 1 of every 33 DALYs in the world was due to IKF, making it the 10th leading risk factor for DALYs. Considering both absolute count, crude, and age-standardized DALY rates per 100,000 population, IKF outranked factors such as alcohol use, unsafe sanitation, low physical activity, drug use, and many nutritional deficiencies. Considering the change in age-standardized DALY rates between 1990 and 2019, there was an increase of 6.3% for CKD and a decrease of–20.5% for CVD due to IKF. The regional and country dynamics were heterogeneous, and the increase in age-standardized DALY rates over 30 years were highest in the regions with the highest CKD burdens—Central and Andean Latin America, the Caribbean, Southern Africa, and Oceania. These regions require focused efforts to reduce the excessive CKD burdens.
The absolute number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) related to impaired kidney function.
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality numbers reflect only a fraction of CVD mortality related to impaired kidney function. Numbers on top indicate total number of DALYs from both chronic kidney disease (CKD), CVD, and gout due to impaired kidney function.
Adapted from Bikbov B. Core global metrics of years lived with disability [YLDs], years of life lost [YLLs], and disability-adjusted life years [DALYs] due to impaired kidney function [IKF] in the GBD 2019 Study. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
The GBD provides some data on the risk factors for the development of CKD ( Fig. 73.13 ). Although these estimates are not complete due to lack of data from many countries, they do help to understand the global landscape and prioritize targeting of the major risk factors, such as high systolic blood pressure, high fasting plasma glucose, and high body mass index.
Disability-adjusted life years for risk factors responsible for chronic kidney disease development.
Adapted from Bikbov B. Core global metrics of years lived with disability [YLDs], years of life lost [YLLs], and disability-adjusted life years [DALYs] due to impaired kidney function [IKF] in the GBD 2019 Study. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8312918 . Accessed Sept 9, 2023.
Drivers of Epidemiologic Transition for Chronic Kidney Disease
The change in CKD epidemiology in recent decades has occurred because of various factors. Firstly, CKD morbidity and mortality are related to the global processes of population growth, aging, and migration. The world’s population has grown from 5.3 billion in 1990 to 7.7 billion in 2019, median global age increased from 23 to 30 years, life expectancy increased from 65 to 73 years, and the percentage of urban population changed from 43.0% to 55.2% in the same period. These changes directly impact the epidemiology of CKD, with absolute counts of CKD patients increasing in proportion to population growth and aging, and possibly also to improved health outcomes in the urban populations. This epidemiologic transition also drives the metabolic and nutritional risk factors for CKD development and progression. Thus over 29 years, the CKD age-standardized DALY rates attributable to arterial hypertension have increased by 15.0%, to high fasting plasma glucose by 12.6%, to high body mass index by 78.1%. During the same period, however, the DALY rates attributable to these risk factors have decreased in the case of CVD.
A second factor impacting CKD epidemiology is the absence of universal health coverage (UHC) in many LMICs or lack of access to KRT even in countries formally considered to have UHC. The lack of access to essential medicines for almost 2 billion persons in the world leads to inability to correct risk factors and treat early CKD stages, which fuels morbidity. A shortage of nephrology services results in late referral and higher rates of complications and mortality. The lack of universal access to life-saving KRT fuels mortality, and the shortage of kidney transplant facilities increases the total cost of maintenance of KRT. The world’s most socially vulnerable regions suffer the most because even after the start of dialysis, a vast majority of patients are forced to withdraw from this life-saving treatment (up to 85% of the incident patients) and die because of inability to pay for KRT. ,
A third important driver of CKD growth, especially relevant to the increase in LMICs, is the persistent inequality among different population subgroups in exposure to risk factors, as well as access to prevention and treatment. Countries with lower economic development have higher rates of CKD and NCDs in general. However, even within the same country substantial inequalities exist in access to medical care, particularly KRT. , Thus in many regions medical care for rural populations is insufficiently developed, and one would expect a higher mortality from CKD and ESKF even if the prevalence of CKD risk factors might be lower in rural settings. CKD is also more prevalent among the urban poor than those of higher socioeconomic status in developed countries (see Chapter 81 ). Other vulnerable groups include women, older persons, and children who in many societies still have reduced access to medical treatment. Women have higher CKD prevalence and generally lower rates of kidney disease progression as compared with men, but there is also evidence of lower access to kidney treatment for women. , Moreover, CKD in pregnant women substantially increases the odds of preeclampsia, preterm delivery, small for gestational age, and low birth weight, all factors associated with low nephron number and increased risks of CKD and other non-communicable diseases over the life course (see Chapter 20). , Thus persisting inequalities and lack of attention to women’s health forms a vicious circle that contributes to the CKD burden over generations. It could be speculated that current higher age-standardized rates of CKD burden in LLMIC may in part be impacted by suboptimal fetal and early childhood nutrition and development leading to later-life CKD. Future generations may see the impact of the current humanitarian crises scattered over all continents on fetal health and CKD epidemiology over the coming decades.
A fourth reason underlying the CKD epidemiologic transition is the increase in CKD burden in certain countries and whole regions independent of changes in the general population. Significant increase in age-standardized CKD rates across regions highlight the most problematic countries where investigation is urgently needed to examine and address the factors leading to increasing age-standardized rates. An example of such an emerging CKD epidemic is Mesoamerican nephropathy (more probably a group of nephropathies also termed CKD of unknown etiology, CKDu), which affects predominantly adult agricultural workers in subequatorial countries of Central America and South Asia. The available data have not permitted an estimate of the burden of CKDu over time, but in some regions such as Nicaragua, CKD is the number 1 cause of death, fueled by the epidemic of CKDu. See Chapter 83 for a more detailed discussion of CKDu. Additional evidence, not well represented in the scientific literature, suggests that other groups of workers (metal and diamond miners, industrial paintshop workers, and others) with high exposure to environmental or occupational hazards are also affected by nephropathies that require further investigation and efforts at prevention. It is possible that worldwide, millions of people work or live in unsafe environments, which add to the global CKD burden.
Finally, CKD prevalence estimates depend on the precision of eGFR equations (i.e., the correspondence between measured and estimated GFR) and availability of repetitive testing to confirm chronic persistence of abnormal kidney disease markers. Use of different GFR estimation equations may lead to an up to 30% difference in CKD prevalence estimates. , The GBD accounts for this and applied an adjustment for different eGFR equations by a special cross-walk procedure, setting the CKD-EPI (version 2009) as the reference. However, any eGFR equation inherits a substantial imprecision and requires verification in different ethnic and age subgroups, which so far has not been performed in many nations suffering from the highest CKD rates, and should be implemented in the future.
The International Society of Nephrology Global Kidney Health Atlas
As part of the “Closing the Gaps” initiative of the International Society of Nephrology (ISN), the Global Kidney Health Atlas (ISN-GKHA) has provided an overview of the current state of kidney care and how it is organized and structured across the world, focusing on existing kidney care (AKI, CKD) awareness levels (captured based on existence of relevant policies and guidelines), care structures, and workforce for optimal care delivery. , , Three iterations of the project have so far been completed in the years 2017, 2019, and 2023. At inception, a total of 125 United Nations Member States (encompassing 93% of the world’s population) responded to the survey as described in more detail elsewhere. For comprehensiveness, the elements of the survey were evaluated within the framework of the Health Systems building blocks outlined by the WHO: leadership and governance, health care financing, health workforce, medical products and technologies, information and research, and service delivery. Study respondents across countries included national nephrology society leadership, policy makers, and patient organization representatives, identified by the country and regional nephrology leadership through the ISN.
Infrastructure for Treatment of Acute Kidney Injury and Chronic Kidney Disease
The ISN-GKHA is the first initiative to assess global capacity for kidney care in terms of the key building blocks of a functional health system and to evaluate the readiness of countries and regions to enhance such care. There were significant gaps in services, workforce, and capacity for research in some countries and regions. For example, most countries in Africa had no facilities for peritoneal dialysis (PD) or kidney transplantation (KT). Few countries had public funding for KRT services and medications for CKD care (including dialysis and transplant); there was a large private (out-of-pocket) contribution toward payment for KRT services and medications, particularly in countries across Africa, South Asia, Oceania, and Southeast Asia. More than two-thirds of countries reported the absence of capacity to participate in clinical research. The noted deficits in infrastructures for kidney care have shown variability with each iteration. The first iteration reported in 2017 showed that globally, 95%, 76%, and 75% of countries had facilities for hemodialysis (HD), peritoneal dialysis (PD), and KT. Although in 2019, the second iteration showed 100%, 76%, and 74% of countries had HD, PD, and KT, respectively, LICs and LMICs had much lower availability of these important services. The third iteration, reported in 2023, using a similar survey instrument showed massive gaps in availability and access to all forms of KRT services between high-income and lower-income countries.
Availability of Chronic Kidney Disease Monitoring and Management Services
There was wide variation in terms of availability of services for CKD monitoring and management at the primary and secondary/tertiary care levels across countries based on income groups ( Fig. 73.14 ). LMIC, especially in Africa, had limited services for the diagnosis, management, and monitoring of CKD at the primary care level, with only 12% having serum creatinine measurement including eGFR. Twenty-nine percent of LIC had access to qualitative urinalysis using urine test strips; however, no LIC had access to urine albumin–to-creatinine ratio (UACR) or urine protein–to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) measurements at the primary care level. Across all income groups, availability of services at the secondary/tertiary care level was considerably higher compared with the primary care level.
Health care services for the identification and management of chronic kidney disease at primary care and secondary/tertiary care levels by World Bank income groups.
Capacities of health care services for chronic kidney disease care are reported as percentages of countries with particular services in each income group. eGFR, Estimated glomerular filtration rate; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin; UACR, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio; UPCR, urine protein–to–creatinine ratio.
Adapted with permission from Htay H, Alrukhaimi M, Ashuntantang GE, et al. Global access of patients with kidney disease to health technologies and medications: findings from the Global Kidney Health Atlas project. Kidney Int Suppl. 2011;8[2]:64–73, 2018.
Availability of Kidney Replacement Therapy Services
Dialysis
All countries reported having chronic HD services, and more than 90% of countries reported having acute HD. More than 90% of upper-middle and HICs reported having chronic PD services, with 64% and 35% availability in LMIC and LIC, respectively. In comparison, acute PD had the lowest availability across all income groups.
Kidney transplantation
More than 90% of upper-middle and HICs reported having kidney transplant services, with more than 85% of these countries reporting the organ source as a combination of living and/or deceased donors. As expected, LIC had the lowest availability of kidney transplant services, with only 12% reporting availability and live donors as the only source.
Workforce for Care Delivery
Considerable variation was noted in the density of nephrologists across countries ( Fig. 73.15 ). The lowest density (<5 nephrologists per million population) was common in LIC, whereas the highest density (>15 nephrologists per million population) was mainly reported in HIC. Most countries reported nephrologists as primarily responsible for both CKD and AKI care. Primary care physicians (PCPs) had more responsibility for CKD care than AKI care, as 64% of countries reported PCPs primarily responsible for CKD and 35% for AKI. Intensive care specialists were primarily responsible for AKI in 75% of countries, understandable as AKI is an acute condition typically treated in hospital. However, only 45% of LICs reported that intensive care specialists were primarily responsible for AKI, compared with 90% of HICs. This discrepancy may be due to a general shortage of intensive care specialists in LIC. The appropriate number of nephrologists in a country depends on many factors including need, priority, and resources, and as such there is no global standard with respect to nephrologist density. Regardless, the density in LIC suggests a shortage of nephrologists, which is problematic as nephrologists are essential to provide leadership and a lack of nephrologists may result in consequences for policy and practice. Encouragingly, the number of nephrologists and nephropathologists is rising in LIC, in part due to the existence of fellowship programs supported by international nephrology organizations. , Importantly, the role of a nephrologist may differ depending on how the health care system is structured. In some regions, kidney disease patients are primarily cared for by PCPs, and as such the need for nephrologists may differ compared with other regions that primarily depend on a nephrologist for managing kidney disease patients.
Distribution of the global nephrologist workforce.
The map depicts global distribution of nephrologists per 1 million population by country and region. Data not available indicates that data were either not known or not provided on the questionnaire for countries that received the survey.
Adapted with permission from Bello AK, Levin A, Tonelli M, et al. Assessment of global kidney health care status. JAMA. 2017;317[18]:1864–1881.
The density statistic merely represents the number of nephrologists per million population and provides no indication of the adequacy to meet the needs of the population or quality of care, which depends on volume of patients with kidney disease and workforce support. For the other care providers essential for kidney care, there were variations in distribution (availability and adequacy) across countries. Overall, provider shortages were highest for renal pathologists (86% of countries reported a shortage), vascular access coordinators (81%), and dietitians (78%) and were more common in low-income countries. Fewer countries (35%) reported a shortage of laboratory technicians ( Fig. 73.16 ).
Progress in the Organization, Structures, and Processes of Care at the Global Level, Prepandemic and Post Pandemic
Changes in the availability of health technologies for the care of patients with kidney failure
Globally, the number of centers for the provision of HD is reported to have increased by 9.8%, rising from 4.4 per million population (pmp) in 2019 to 4.8 pmp in 2023 ( Fig. 73.17 ). This proportion increased across most regions except the Middle East, where there was a decrease of–13.1% (3.8 pmp in 2019 to 3.3 pmp in 2023). The number of centers providing PD across countries increased overall by 13% (1.4–1.6 pmp). However, there was a noted decrease in the number of PD centers in Eastern and Central Europe (–14.5%), the Middle East (–7.8%), North and East Asia (–34.5%), and Oceania and South East Asia (OSEA) (–31.5%) (see Fig. 73.17 ). Globally, the number of centers providing KT was reported to have increased by 7% (0.43–0.46 pmp). Region-specific trends showed these centers only increased in Western Europe from 0.52 pmp in 2019 to 0.55 pmp in 2023, representing an increase of 5.8%, but evidenced a reduction in other regions, ranging from–0.9% in North and East Asia to–19.5% in the Middle East region (see Fig. 73.17 ).
Availability of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) centers by International Society of Nephrology (ISN) regions and World Bank Groups, pre (2019) and post pandemic (2023).
Prevalence of hemodialysis (HD), peritoneal dialysis (PD), and kidney transplantation (KT) centers in 2019 and 2023. Trends presented in percent change from 2019. NIS, Newly independent states; OSEA, Oceania and South East Asia; PMP, per million population.
Changes in quality of kidney replacement therapy and availability of routine diagnostic and management of complications associated with kidney failure
Overall, the proportion of countries where HD was offered thrice weekly (3 to 4 hours per session) increased by 7.8% ( Fig. 73.18 ). This proportion increased in Africa (25.6%), Latin America (12.4%), Newly Independent States (NIS) and Russia (16.3%), North America and the Caribbean (75.4%), and South Asia (32.6%) (see Fig. 73.18 ). Overall, the proportion of countries where adequate PD (defined as three to four exchanges per day or equivalent cycles on automated PD) was offered increased by 1.7%. World regions with the highest percentage increase for adequate PD were North America and the Caribbean (65.1%), Latin America (23.9%), and Africa (21.4%). Overall, countries with capacity for provision of facilities for management of kidney transplant (defined as provision of appropriate immunosuppression and antirejection treatments) did not change and only increased in Latin America (13.3%), North America and the Caribbean (24.6%), and the North and East Asia region (20.5%) (see Fig. 73.18 ).
Quality of kidney replacement therapy by International Society of Nephrology region changes noted pre- and post pandemic.
Quality indicated by center-based hemodialysis service of adequate frequency (treatment three times a week for 3 or 4 hours) in hemodialysis (HD), peritoneal dialysis (PD) exchanges of adequate frequency (3–4 per day or equivalent cycles on automated PD) in PD, and appropriate immunosuppression and antirejection treatment in kidney transplantation (KT). NIS, Newly independent states; OSEA, Oceania and Southeast Asia.
Changes in access to kidney replacement therapy
Globally, the change in the proportion of patients with access to KRT modalities, HD, PD, and KT were 2.8%, 50%, and–3.3% across both periods ( Fig. 73.19 ). Countries where >50% of kidney failure patients can access HD remained the same in North America and Caribbean, OSEA, and the Western Europe region but increased in Africa (17.7%), Eastern and Central Europe (6.4%), the Middle East (22%), and North and East Asia (20.5%). Although there was a global reduction in the proportion of countries where >50% of kidney failure patients can access KT, there was an increase in Africa (100%), Latin America (29.4%), and Western Europe (41.7%). Only HICs reported an increase in proportion of countries with access to KT (1.8%); this proportion reduced in LMICs (–72.7%) and remained the same in LICs and UMICs (see Fig. 73.19 ).





