Chronic Kidney Disease Mineral and Bone Disorder (CKD-MBD) Clinical Trials: A Critical Appraisal


Parameters

Yes

No

Comment

Validity

Is the randomization procedure well described?

+1
 
It was well described. Baseline characteristics were well balanced

Double blinded?
 
−1

Open label

Is the sample size calculation described/adequate?
 
−1

The main objective of this study was unclear although assessment of vascular calcification was one of the major study outcomes. Power was based on a projected difference of 10 mg2/dL2 in calcium × phosphorus product, and the study achieved only 3 mg2/dL2 difference

Does it have a hard primary endpoint?
 
−1

Primary endpoint was unclear

Is the endpoint surrogate?
 
−1

Laboratory result with vascular calcification

Is the follow-up appropriate?

+1
 
Yes

Was there a bias?

−1
 
The open-label design, the mix of calcium carbonate and calcium acetate in the calcium intervention arm with different elemental calcium load, the absence of reporting on drug intake of relevance to the outcome as vitamin D sterols, lipid lowering, and calcium dialysate concentration

Is the dropout >25 %?
 
−1

Dropout rate particularly for vascular calcification was higher than 25 % at 52 weeks

Is the analysis ITT?

+3
  
Utility/usefulness

Can the findings be generalized?
 
−1

Essentially negative and inconclusive trial

Score

0 %
 
TTG has serious limitations





Comments and Discussion


The association between hyperphosphatemia and vascular calcification (VC) has been substantiated by many experimental and observational studies. VC and adverse cardiovascular outcomes are also closely linked whether in the general population [4] or in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) [5, 6].

This study was one of the earliest that examined the differential impact of calcium- and non-calcium-containing phosphate binders on vascular calcifications. More significantly, it was one of the landmark studies that looked at VC in prevalent dialysis patients. It suggests that compared to calcium-containing phosphate binders, sevelamer (Renagel) was less likely to cause VC.

The study has major limitations:

1.

Its open-label design makes it liable to observer selection and management bias.

 

2.

The study is likely to be underpowered to detect a meaningful clinical difference in the severity of coronary and/or thoracic aorta calcification. Power was based on a projected difference of 10 mg2/dL2 in serum calcium × phosphorus product, and the study achieved only a 3 mg2/dL2 difference.

 

3.

The calcium-containing phosphate binder-treated group was not homogeneous [79]; participants were on either calcium acetate or calcium carbonate with different elemental calcium content/intake and variable phosphate-lowering effects.

 

4.

The outcomes are mainly surrogate including biochemistry and VC detected by electron beam tomography. Changes in these surrogate markers do not necessarily translate into better cardiovascular outcomes and survival in the hemodialysis population. Also, the use of serum calcium × phosphorus product as one of the study endpoint is dubious to say the least. Most recent CKD-MBD guidelines questioned the clinical value of serum calcium × phosphorus product (Ca × Pi) in determining the prognosis and outcomes in CKD.

 

5.

There was no control of other factors known to affect serum calcium and/or VC such as vitamin D intake or blood levels, calcium concentrations in the dialysis bath [7], and lipid-lowering drugs in both arms. This is likely to confound the outcome results, more especially in an unblinded, open-label study.

 


Conclusion


While the TTG trial attempted to draw attention to the risks associated with calcium-containing phosphate binders and the potential advantage of sevelamer, it is at best inconclusive due to the significant shortcomings listed above.

Over reliance on surrogate markers to determine the efficacy of interventions in the area of mineral and bone disorders (MBD) has been one of the major flaws of clinical investigation in this field.



Renagel in New Dialysis Study (RIND)


Publication: Effects of sevelamer and calcium on coronary artery calcification in patients new to hemodialysis

Authors: Block GA, Spiegel DM, Ehrlich J, Mehta R, Lindbergh J, Dreisbach A, Raggi P

Reference: Kidney Int. 2005;68(4):1815–24


Abstract


Background: Hemodialysis patients are at increased risk for progressive coronary artery calcification; however, the development and progression of this disease process in patients new to hemodialysis is unknown.

Method: One hundred and twenty-nine patients new to hemodialysis were randomized to receive calcium-containing phosphate binders or the non-calcium phosphate binder sevelamer hydrochloride. Subjects underwent electron beam computed tomography scanning (EBCT) at entry into the study and again at 6, 12, and 18 months.

Results: One hundred and nine patients underwent baseline and at least one additional assessment of coronary calcification. At baseline, 37 % of sevelamer-treated and 31 % of calcium-treated patients had no evidence of coronary calcification. No subject with a zero coronary artery calcium score (CACS) at baseline progressed to a CACS >30 over 18 months. Subjects with a CACS >30 at baseline showed progressive increases in CACS in both treatment arms (P < 0.05 for each time point in both groups). Subjects treated with calcium-containing phosphate binders showed more rapid and more severe increases in CACS when compared with those receiving sevelamer hydrochloride (P = 0.056 at 12 months, P = 0.01 at 18 months).

Conclusion: New hemodialysis patients with no evidence of coronary calcification showed little evidence of disease development over 18 months independent of phosphate binder therapy. However, subjects with evidence of at least mild coronary calcification had significant progression at 6, 12, and 18 months. Use of calcium-containing phosphate binders resulted in more rapid progression of coronary calcification than did use of sevelamer hydrochloride.


Critical Appraisal






















































































Parameters

Yes

No

Comment

Validity

Is the randomization procedure well described?

+1
 
Well described with balanced baseline variables

Double blinded?
 
−2

Open label

Is the sample size calculation described/adequate?
 
−3

It was “estimated” that 50 patients in each arm would have only 80 % power to detect a significant difference in coronary artery calcification score. However, the basis of such an estimation was not specified in the methodology

Does it have a hard primary endpoint?
 
−1

The primary endpoint was a change in coronary artery calcification score. Mortality was a prespecified secondary endpoint published in a later study

Is the endpoint surrogate?

−2
   

Is the follow-up appropriate?

+1
 
18 months

Was there a bias?
 
+2
 

Is the dropout >25 %?
 
+1

No

Is the analysis ITT?

+3
 
Yes

Utility/usefulness

Can the findings be generalized?
 
−1

The surrogate endpoint, the lack of a specified protocol, and the use of different calcium-based binders limit the clinical utility of the study

Are the findings easily translatable?

+1
   

Was the NNT <100?
   
Not applicable

Score

0 %
   


Comments and Discussion


The RIND study [10] was one of the first studies to demonstrate the possible adverse effect of calcium-based binders on VC in a hemodialysis population. The results of the RIND study were similar to the earlier Treat To Goal study [11] in that both studies challenged the widespread use of calcium-based binders and suggested that they may adversely affect a well-validated surrogate endpoint, namely, VC. Furthermore, in a preplanned secondary endpoint analysis of the RIND study with a median follow-up of 44 months, patients randomized to sevelamer had a significantly lower mortality rate compared to those randomized to calcium-based binders [12]. However, it is important to recognize that RIND was simply not powered to detect mortality differences given its small sample size. Furthermore, a fundamental problem with both the RIND and Treat To Goal studies was a lack of a specified treatment protocol in the calcium- and sevelamer-based arms with use of different doses and types of calcium-based binders. This clearly undermines the utility of the data generated. However, both RIND and Treat to Goal were, at the time of publication, hypothesis-generating studies challenging the paradigm of phosphorus control based on the ubiquitous use of calcium-containing binders.


Calcium Acetate Renagel Evaluation-2 (CARE-2)


Publication: A 1-year randomized trial of calcium acetate versus sevelamer on progression of coronary artery calcification in hemodialysis patients with comparable lipid control: the Calcium Acetate Renagel Evaluation-2 (CARE-2) study

Authors: Qunibi W, Moustafa M, Muenz LR, He DY, Kessler PD, Diaz-Buxo JA, Budoff M

Reference: Am J Kidney Dis. 2008 Jun;51(6):952–65


Abstract


Background: Previous clinical trials showed that progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC) may be slower in hemodialysis patients treated with sevelamer than those treated with calcium-based phosphate binders. Because sevelamer decreases low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels, we hypothesized that intensive lowering of LDL-C levels with atorvastatin in hemodialysis patients treated with calcium acetate would result in CAC progression rates similar to those in sevelamer-treated patients.

Study Design: Randomized, controlled, open-label, non-inferiority trial with an upper bound for the non-inferiority margin of 1.8.

Setting and Participants: A total of 203 prevalent hemodialysis patients at 26 dialysis centers with serum phosphorus levels greater than 5.5 mg/dL, LDL-C levels greater than 80 mg/dL, and baseline CAC scores of 30–7,000 units assessed by means of electron beam computed tomography.

Interventions: 103 patients were randomly assigned to calcium acetate and 100 patients to sevelamer for 12 months to achieve phosphorus levels of 3.5–5.5 mg/dL. Atorvastatin was added to achieve serum LDL-C levels less than 70 mg/dL in both groups.

Outcomes and Measurements: The primary endpoint was change in CAC score assessed by means of electron beam computed tomography.

Results: After 12 months, mean serum LDL-C levels decreased to 68.8 ± 22.0 mg/dL in the calcium acetate group and 62.4 ± 23.0 mg/dL in the sevelamer group (P = 0.3). Geometric mean increases in CAC scores were 35 % in the calcium acetate group and 39 % in the sevelamer group, with a covariate-adjusted calcium acetate–sevelamer ratio of 0.994 (95 % confidence interval, 0.851–1.161).

Limitations: Treatment assignment was not blinded. The 1.8 a priori margin is large, CAC is a surrogate outcome, duration of treatment was short, and dropout rate was high.

Conclusions: With intensive lowering of LDL-C levels for 1 year, hemodialysis patients treated with either calcium acetate or sevelamer experienced similar progression of CAC.


Critical Appraisal






















































































Parameters

Yes

No

Comment

Validity

Is the randomization procedure well described?

+1
   

Double blinded?
 
−2

Open label

Is the sample size calculation described/adequate?

+3
 
The statistical test power was 80 %

Does it have a hard primary endpoint?
 
−1

Change in coronary artery calcification

Is the endpoint surrogate?

−2
   

Is the follow-up appropriate?
 
−1

12 months may not represent sufficient “time” to detect significant changes in calcification

Was there a bias?
 
+2
 

Is the dropout >25 %?

−1
 
High dropout rate of 42.7 % in calcium acetate arm

Is the analysis ITT?

+3
   

Utility/usefulness

Can the findings be generalized?
 
−1

High dropout rates in both arms limit the utility of the study

Are the findings easily translatable?

+1
   

Was the NNT <100?
   
Not applicable as this was a non-inferiority study

Score

12.5 %
   


Comments and Discussion


The original CARE study [13] was an 8-week, blinded RCT that randomized patients to sevelamer or calcium acetate. Unlike RIND or Treat to Goal, there was a specified protocol for the management of hyperphosphatemia in the study. CARE demonstrated that patients allocated to calcium acetate had significantly lower serum phosphorus levels than those allocated to sevelamer, though transient hypercalcemia occurred in 16.7 % of patients randomized to calcium acetate. The data from CARE suggested that calcium acetate provided better biochemical control of serum phosphorus as well as being more effective.

CARE-2 [14] was designed to control for the lipid-lowering effect of sevelamer by determining the risk of VC in patients on sevelamer and calcium acetate who had comparable lipid control. This was achieved by using atorvastatin to lower LDL cholesterol to less than 70 mg/dl in both groups. The headline data demonstrated a comparable increase in coronary artery calcification in both groups. The short duration of the study coupled with the high dropout rate means that data should be interpreted with caution. Furthermore, virtually all the patients in the calcium acetate arm received atorvastatin, whereas 21 % of patients in the sevelamer arm did not receive any atorvastatin. Notwithstanding these significant limitations, both the CARE studies provide an important counterbalance to the heavily pharma-supported narrative that cheaper, calcium-containing binders lead to adverse outcomes by aggravating VC. It is based on the hypothesis that VC is highly predictive of mortality in the dialysis population and that VC can be further aggravated by the use of calcium-based binders. This is perhaps an oversimplistic model of the pathogenesis of VC, which is not a result of passive deposition of calcium and phosphorus in the vessel wall but rather a complex process tightly regulated by inhibitors of VC such as fetuin A and matrix gla protein [15].


Dialysis Clinical Outcomes Revisited (DCOR)


Publication: Effects of sevelamer and calcium-based phosphate binders on mortality in hemodialysis patients

Authors: Suki WN, Zabaneh R, Cangiano JL, Reed J, Fischer D, Garrett L, Ling BN, Chasan-Taber S, Dillon MA, Blair AT, Burke SK

Reference: Kidney Int. 2007;72(9):1130–7


Abstract


Elevated serum phosphorus and calcium are associated with arterial calcification and mortality in dialysis patients. Unlike calcium-based binders, sevelamer attenuates arterial calcification, but it is unknown whether sevelamer affects mortality or morbidity. In a multicenter, randomized, open-label, parallel design trial, we compared sevelamer and calcium-based binders on all-cause and cause-specific mortality (cardiovascular, infection, and other) in prevalent hemodialysis patients. A total of 2,103 patients were initially randomized to treatment, and 1,068 patients completed the study. All-cause mortality rates and cause-specific mortality rates were not significantly different. There was a significant age interaction on the treatment effect. Only in patients over 65 years of age was there a significant effect of sevelamer in lowering the mortality rate. There was a suggestion that sevelamer was associated with lower overall, but not cardiovascular-linked, mortality in older patients. We suggest that further research is needed to confirm these findings.


Critical Appraisal






















































































Parameters

Yes

No

Comment

Validity

Is the randomization procedure well described?

+1
 
Well-balanced baseline variables

Double blinded?
 
−2

Open label

Is the sample size calculation described/adequate?

+2
 
It was designed to have 80 % power to detect a 22 % decrease in all-cause mortality, assuming a mortality rate of 20 per 100 patient-years in the calcium group and a two-sided α of 0.05

Does it have a hard primary endpoint?

+1
 
All-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality (cardiovascular, infection, other), and all-cause hospitalization

Is the endpoint surrogate?
 
0

No

Is the follow-up appropriate?

+1
 
Mean follow-up was around 20 months

Was there a bias?
 
+2
 

Is the dropout >25 %?

−1
 
It was >25 %. The dropout rate was high (49 %), and the event rate was lower than expected, and therefore the study was extended for a further year

Is the analysis ITT?
 
−3

In the case of early termination, patients were followed up for 90 days only following discontinuation of the study drug. Statistical plan specified analysis of outcomes during this follow-up period rather than an intent to treat period

Utility/usefulness

Can the findings be generalized?

+1
 
Although the study only involved dialysis centers from the USA, this is a powerful study with a large sample size and therefore is highly relevant to current practice

Are the findings easily translatable?

+1
 
Yes

Was the NNT <100?
   
Not applicable as it was a negative outcome study

Score

18.75 %
   


Comments and Discussion


DCOR [16] in essence is a negative outcome study with no beneficial effect of sevelamer hydrochloride on mortality. Although there appeared to be a survival benefit in patients over the age of 65 years, the “real world” clinical significance of this is not clear. Furthermore, this benefit was not associated with a reduction in cardiovascular mortality, which is somewhat surprising given that the putative benefits of sevelamer hydrochloride have been postulated to be due to a reduction in VC. DCOR is a large, adequately powered study, with a hard primary outcome (mortality) and adequately balanced baseline variables between both groups. The flaws of this study reside in the unusually high dropout rate (49 %), the absence of intention to treat analysis, and the inherent biased nature of an open-label design. A preplanned intention to treat analysis was later published and again showed no beneficial effect of sevelamer on mortality [17]. The high dropout rate may reflect in part issues with the tolerability of sevelamer.

DCOR remains a landmark study in the management of hyperphosphatemia in dialysis patients and again challenged expert, opinion-based guidelines that had promoted the use of sevelamer on the basis of beneficial effects on surrogate endpoints such as VC.

DCOR highlights the difficulty in conducting outcome studies on mortality targeting only one variable (such as phosphorus) in complex, comorbid dialysis patients where the risk of death is likely to be multifactorial. One plausible explanation for the difference between DCOR and the previously positive outcomes seen in the RIND study is that DCOR was conducted in a prevalent dialysis population, and therefore many of the subjects will already have established VC, thereby attenuating any potential impact of sevelamer on VC progression. However, it is clear that from this large, well-powered study that there is no hard evidence to support the use of sevelamer over cheaper calcium-based binders in a prevalent hemodialysis population in the absence of hypercalcemia.


INDEPENDENT Study Investigators – CKD


Publication: Mortality in kidney disease patients treated with phosphate binders: a randomized study

Authors: Di Iorio B, Bellasi A, Russo D

Reference: Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2012;7:48793


Abstract


Background and Objectives: Dietary phosphorus overload and excessive calcium intake from calcium-containing phosphate binders promote coronary artery calcification (CAC) that may contribute to high mortality of dialysis patients. CAC has been found in patients in early stages of non-dialysis-dependent CKD. In this population, no study has evaluated the potential role of phosphorus binders on mortality. This study aimed to evaluate all-cause mortality as the primary endpoint in non-dialysis-dependent CKD patients randomized to different phosphate binders; secondary endpoints were dialysis inception and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and dialysis inception.

Design, Setting, Participants, and Measurements: This is a randomized, multicenter, non-blinded pilot study. Consecutive outpatients (n = 212; stage 34 CKD) were randomized to either sevelamer (n = 107) or calcium carbonate (n = 105). Phosphorus concentration was maintained between 2.7 and 4.6 mg/dl for patients with stage 34 CKD and between 3.5 and 5.5 mg/dl for patients with stage 5 CKD. The CAC score was assessed by computed tomography at study entry and after 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. All-cause mortality, dialysis inception, and the composite endpoint were recorded for up to 36 months.

Results: In patients randomized to sevelamer, all-cause mortality and the composite endpoint were lower; a non-significant trend was noted for dialysis inception.

Conclusions: Sevelamer provided benefits in all-cause mortality and in the composite endpoint of death or dialysis inception but not advantages in dialysis inception. Larger studies are needed to confirm these results.


Critical Appraisal









































































Parameters

Yes

No

Comment

Validity

Is the randomization procedure well described?

+1
   

Double blinded?
 
−2

Open label

Is the sample size calculation described/adequate?
 
−3

Unlikely that the sample size is adequate. The authors state that the study had an 80 % power to detect a 60 % reduction in mortality and used a sample size of 240 based on local “historical” data. Given that cardiovascular studies such as SHARP recruited nearly 9,000 patients to detect differences in CV mortality, such a sample size calculation does not seem credible

Does it have a hard primary endpoint?

+1
 
Mortality

Is the endpoint surrogate?
 
0

No

Is the follow-up appropriate?

+1
 
36 months

Was there a bias?
 
+2

Interestingly, the coronary artery calcification score at baseline was higher in the sevelamer group. This could not explain the positive impact of sevelamer

Is the dropout >25 %?
 
+1
 

Is the analysis ITT?

+3
   

Utility/usefulness

Can the findings be generalized?
 
−1

Final and on-treatment phosphorus levels were lower in the sevelamer group, therefore making it impossible to determine whether positive outcomes were related to phosphorus lowering per se or the allocated binder

Are the findings easily translatable?
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Jul 4, 2016 | Posted by in NEPHROLOGY | Comments Off on Chronic Kidney Disease Mineral and Bone Disorder (CKD-MBD) Clinical Trials: A Critical Appraisal

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